The yield on the French 10-year OAT has climbed toward the 3.1% threshold, moving up from the recent nearly two-week low of 2.97% hit on August 24th, as recent data continue to indicate inflationary pressures are still present in Europe. Figures released earlier today showed the Spanish inflation rate rose for 2nd month and inflation accelerated in four of six German states in August. Investors now await overall CPI figures from Germany and the Euro Area. Still, market pricing suggests that there is an approximately equal likelihood of the European Central Bank raising rates by a quarter-point to reach 4% in September.
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Historically, the France Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 11.84 in February of 1985. France Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on August of 2023.
The France Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 3.20 percent by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 3.58 in 12 months time.