The Caixin China General Manufacturing PMI fell to 49.2 in July 2023 from 50.5 in June, missing market estimates of 50.3 while hitting its lowest reading in six months. It was also the first fall in factory activity since April, as new orders dropped after growing in the prior two months, foreign sales contracted the most since September 2022, and buying levels were down for the first time since January. Further, employment declined for the 5th month running while backlogs of work were stable. Delivery times got a bit worse, as some suppliers reduced their inventory levels. On prices, input cost fell for the fourth month; and output charges decreased further, on competitive pricing strategies. Finally, confidence hit a 4-month peak, but the degree of optimism was historically subdued. "Monetary policy only has a limited effect on boosting supply," said Dr. Wang Zhe, an economist at Caixin Insight Group. "An expansionary fiscal policy that targets demand should be prioritized.” source: Markit Economics
Manufacturing PMI in China averaged 50.05 points from 2011 until 2023, reaching an all time high of 54.90 points in November of 2020 and a record low of 40.30 points in February of 2020. This page provides the latest reported value for - China Manufacturing PMI - plus previous releases, historical high and low, short-term forecast and long-term prediction, economic calendar, survey consensus and news. China Caixin Manufacturing PMI - data, historical chart, forecasts and calendar of releases - was last updated on August of 2023.
Manufacturing PMI in China is expected to be 49.00 points by the end of this quarter, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations. In the long-term, the China Caixin Manufacturing PMI is projected to trend around 52.10 points in 2024 and 51.80 points in 2025, according to our econometric models.